The post How To Speed Up the Search for Cures Through a Change in Probability Theory appeared first on Reason.com.

Probability theory forms the mathematical backbone for quantifying uncertainty and random events, providing a rigorous language with which to describe both everyday phenomena and complex scientific ...

Is the Super Bowl coin toss cursed? We analyze 59 years of data, the 31-28 Tails edge, and why toss winners lose the game 57% ...

Possibility theory and conditional probability offer complementary perspectives for modelling uncertainty, with each framework contributing distinct advantages. Possibility theory, rooted in fuzzy set ...

“One of the basic axioms of the rational theory of decision under uncertainty is Savage’s (1954) sure-thing principle (STP). It states that if prospect x is preferred to y knowing that Event A ...

The Hebrew University of Jerusalem is proud to congratulate Prof. Benjamin Weiss of the Einstein Institute for Mathematics on ...

Systems aren’t truly random—outcomes are shaped by structure, constraints, and time, just like reliability performance in ...

There's no telling what will gain traction on social media, but one conspiracy theory has gained enough traction for NASA to make a statement.

What would happen if asteroid 2024 YR4 hit the Moon? Scientists have a theory - There’s a 4.3% chance it hits the moon in ...

We came across a bullish thesis on ABIVAX Société Anonyme on Alpha Talon Investment Research’s Substack by AT Investment ...

There is no measurement that can directly observe the wave function of a quantum mechanical system, but the wave function is still enormously useful as its (complex) square represents the probability ...

In one day, 433 people won the Philippine lottery jackpot. What were the chances? On October 1, 2022, something strange ...